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Dive into a collection of past posts and rediscover timeless content.
LA Weather Tomorrow: The Market's Got It Wrong?

Dec 11, 2025

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5 min read

LA Weather Tomorrow: The Market's Got It Wrong?

The Kalshi temperature market for LA on December 12th looks mispriced. Here's the play.

What Will Powell Say?

Dec 6, 2025

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4 min read

What Will Powell Say?

A Data-Driven Look at Kalshi's Word Markets

The Edge Desk

A weekly newsletter for prediction market traders and curious observers. One conviction pick, the thinking behind it, and a running tally of wins and losses. Part analysis, part education, part accountability.

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